v5.3 SOL-USD
$1,000.00
+0.00% vs $1,000
pre-swap baseline (v5.1): $986.84 over 17 trades
shadow1.0 SOL-USD
$998.12
-0.19% vs $1,000
pre-swap baseline (v5.1): $1,135.42 over 23 trades
paper · ETH ETH-USD
$1,053.02
+5.30% vs $1,000
01Headline KPIsall v5.1 closed trades · pre + post swap
PF > 1.0 = profitable. > 1.5 = good. > 2.0 = rare. Max DD is peak-to-trough on the equity curve.
| stream | trades | win_rate_% | PF | total_pnl_$ | total_ret_% | mean_$ | median_$ | best_$ | worst_$ | stdev_$ | max_dd_% | avg_dur_h | first | last |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| live | 17 | 76.50 | 0.88 | -13.16 | -1.32 | -0.77 | +3.97 | +16.32 | -40.63 | 16.45 | -4.17 | 32.65 | 2026-04-16 13:30 | 2026-05-13 14:00 |
| shadow | 24 | 75.00 | 2.70 | +133.54 | +13.35 | +5.56 | +8.15 | +34.37 | -67.33 | 18.08 | -5.75 | 2.62 | 2026-05-07 00:40 | 2026-05-15 03:32 |
| paper | 3 | 100.00 | ∞ | +53.02 | +5.30 | +17.67 | +17.11 | +18.81 | +17.10 | 0.99 | 0.00 | 28.56 | 2026-05-08 17:58 | 2026-05-13 14:06 |
02Equity curvesnormalized to $1,000
All three streams started with $1k. Flat stretches = bot idle. Slope > 0 = winning.
03Trades on real priceCoinbase 1h close
Open circle = entry; ▲/▼ = exit pointing the way the bot was facing. Dotted line = round trip · green = net win, red = net loss. Amber dashed = currently-open position extending to now.
04Per-trade PnL · timeline
Same trades, plotted as $ outcome vs time. Streaks and clusters jump out faster than on the equity view.
05PnL distribution
Fat right tail with thin left tail = good. Symmetric or fat left = the strategy is sampling noise.
| stream | count | mean | std | min | 10% | 25% | 50% | 75% | 90% | max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| live | 17.00 | -0.77 | 16.45 | -40.63 | -24.41 | +3.03 | +3.97 | +9.01 | +12.46 | +16.32 |
| paper | 3.00 | +17.67 | 0.99 | +17.10 | +17.10 | +17.10 | +17.11 | +17.96 | +18.47 | +18.81 |
| shadow | 24.00 | +5.56 | 18.08 | -67.33 | -3.09 | +0.96 | +8.15 | +12.78 | +20.43 | +34.37 |
06Exit reason × stream
Which exit type is doing the most work — and which is bleeding money?
| exit_reason | live | paper | shadow | TOTAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| trailing | +89.85 | +53.02 | +201.58 | +344.45 |
| manual | +9.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +9.01 |
| other | 0.00 | 0.00 | -68.04 | -68.04 |
| sl | -112.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -112.02 |
07Long vs short × stream
Symmetry check. If one side drags the numbers, that's a regime issue rather than a strategy issue.
| stream | direction | n | winrate_% | pnl_total | avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| live | long | 13 | 76.90 | -8.68 | -0.67 |
| live | short | 4 | 75.00 | -4.48 | -1.12 |
| paper | long | 1 | 100.00 | +17.10 | +17.10 |
| paper | short | 2 | 100.00 | +35.92 | +17.96 |
| shadow | long | 20 | 75.00 | +104.10 | +5.21 |
| shadow | short | 4 | 75.00 | +29.44 | +7.36 |
08Regime × streamlive: gated · shadow: baseline
After the 2026-05-14 LIVE↔shadow swap, shadow runs the bare hybrid_v5.1 baseline (no regime gate, no reverse-exit, no grid-what-if). The split lets us measure whether the live-side mode flags actually improve outcomes vs the unmodified strategy. Promotion bar still applies for any new mode flag we may want to A/B.
| stream | regime | n | winrate_% | pnl | avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| live | down | 3 | 66.70 | -9.27 | -3.09 |
| live | sideways | 2 | 100.00 | +8.07 | +4.04 |
| live | up | 12 | 75.00 | -11.96 | -1.00 |
| paper | down | 1 | 100.00 | +17.10 | +17.10 |
| paper | sideways | 2 | 100.00 | +35.92 | +17.96 |
| shadow | down | 2 | 100.00 | +31.66 | +15.83 |
| shadow | up | 22 | 72.70 | +101.88 | +4.63 |
09MFE × MAErisk profile per trade
Upper-left = clean winners with shallow drawdown. Lower-right = trades that touched profit but ended losing (give-back). Cloud shape tells you how much of the move the exit logic converts.
10Duration vs PnL
Short-and-winning vs long-and-losing? Tells you if the bot is cutting too early or riding too long.
11Recent activitylast 14 days · most recent first
Skim this when reopening the dashboard.
| stream | asset | direction | entry_dt | exit_dt | duration_h | entry_price | exit_price | return_pct | pnl_net | exit_reason | regime |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| shadow | SOL | long | 2026-05-15 01:31 | 2026-05-15 03:32 | 2.02 | 91.90 | 91.99 | +0.10 | -1.88 | trailing | up |
| shadow | SOL | short | 2026-05-14 14:37 | 2026-05-14 14:48 | 0.18 | 92.77 | 91.92 | +0.92 | +9.98 | trailing | down |
| shadow | SOL | short | 2026-05-14 13:25 | 2026-05-14 14:15 | 0.84 | 92.75 | 91.12 | +1.76 | +21.69 | trailing | down |
| shadow | SOL | long | 2026-05-13 11:27 | 2026-05-14 12:57 | 25.50 | 94.41 | 91.23 | -3.37 | -67.33 | other | up |
| paper | ETH | short | 2026-05-12 22:05 | 2026-05-13 14:06 | 16.02 | 2,291.50 | 2,262.50 | +1.27 | +17.11 | trailing | sideways |
| live | SOL | long | 2026-05-12 01:21 | 2026-05-13 14:00 | 36.65 | 96.66 | 91.74 | -5.09 | -25.73 | sl | up |
| shadow | SOL | long | 2026-05-13 10:36 | 2026-05-13 11:05 | 0.48 | 93.78 | 94.45 | +0.71 | +9.64 | trailing | up |
| shadow | SOL | short | 2026-05-13 01:38 | 2026-05-13 06:22 | 4.73 | 95.24 | 95.29 | -0.05 | -3.61 | other | up |
| paper | ETH | short | 2026-05-09 16:25 | 2026-05-12 09:34 | 65.14 | 2,325.00 | 2,293.50 | +1.35 | +18.81 | trailing | sideways |
| shadow | SOL | long | 2026-05-12 08:03 | 2026-05-12 09:13 | 1.16 | 95.09 | 95.39 | +0.32 | +2.19 | trailing | up |
| shadow | SOL | long | 2026-05-12 01:21 | 2026-05-12 01:34 | 0.20 | 95.81 | 96.38 | +0.59 | +5.67 | trailing | up |
| live | SOL | long | 2026-05-10 20:25 | 2026-05-11 16:18 | 19.89 | 95.79 | 97.57 | +1.86 | +7.74 | trailing | up |
| shadow | SOL | long | 2026-05-11 14:52 | 2026-05-11 15:44 | 0.87 | 93.48 | 95.96 | +2.65 | +34.37 | trailing | up |
| shadow | SOL | long | 2026-05-11 08:05 | 2026-05-11 08:28 | 0.38 | 94.13 | 94.77 | +0.68 | +6.77 | trailing | up |
| shadow | SOL | long | 2026-05-11 03:13 | 2026-05-11 06:42 | 3.48 | 94.80 | 95.73 | +0.98 | +11.09 | trailing | up |
| shadow | SOL | long | 2026-05-10 21:07 | 2026-05-10 21:39 | 0.53 | 95.14 | 95.08 | -0.06 | -3.75 | trailing | up |
| shadow | SOL | long | 2026-05-10 20:25 | 2026-05-10 20:32 | 0.13 | 95.21 | 95.38 | +0.18 | -0.31 | trailing | up |
| live | SOL | long | 2026-05-10 10:22 | 2026-05-10 17:36 | 7.23 | 93.79 | 95.71 | +2.05 | +8.46 | trailing | up |
| shadow | SOL | long | 2026-05-10 10:22 | 2026-05-10 11:22 | 0.98 | 93.03 | 93.42 | +0.42 | +3.05 | trailing | up |
| live | SOL | long | 2026-05-09 10:00 | 2026-05-10 09:37 | 23.61 | 93.26 | 94.28 | +1.09 | +3.97 | trailing | up |
| shadow | SOL | long | 2026-05-10 01:17 | 2026-05-10 09:37 | 8.34 | 92.72 | 94.28 | +1.68 | +20.60 | trailing | up |
| shadow | SOL | long | 2026-05-10 00:05 | 2026-05-10 01:01 | 0.95 | 91.36 | 92.88 | +1.66 | +20.04 | trailing | up |
| shadow | SOL | long | 2026-05-09 15:24 | 2026-05-09 16:49 | 1.41 | 92.63 | 92.71 | +0.09 | -1.58 | trailing | up |
| shadow | SOL | long | 2026-05-09 14:43 | 2026-05-09 15:09 | 0.43 | 91.63 | 92.61 | +1.07 | +11.94 | trailing | up |
| shadow | SOL | long | 2026-05-09 13:40 | 2026-05-09 14:25 | 0.74 | 91.88 | 93.00 | +1.22 | +14.03 | trailing | up |
| shadow | SOL | long | 2026-05-09 10:01 | 2026-05-09 13:06 | 3.09 | 92.06 | 93.23 | +1.27 | +14.77 | trailing | up |
| paper | ETH | long | 2026-05-08 13:27 | 2026-05-08 17:58 | 4.53 | 2,276.00 | 2,305.00 | +1.27 | +17.10 | trailing | down |
| live | SOL | long | 2026-05-07 00:19 | 2026-05-08 17:37 | 41.30 | 89.00 | 91.51 | +2.82 | +11.47 | trailing | up |
| shadow | SOL | short | 2026-05-08 14:38 | 2026-05-08 15:36 | 0.96 | 89.11 | 88.84 | +0.30 | +1.38 | trailing | up |
| shadow | SOL | long | 2026-05-08 13:08 | 2026-05-08 13:40 | 0.53 | 87.23 | 88.04 | +0.93 | +9.52 | trailing | up |
| shadow | SOL | long | 2026-05-07 00:55 | 2026-05-07 05:29 | 4.56 | 88.30 | 88.67 | +0.42 | +2.90 | other | up |
| shadow | SOL | long | 2026-05-07 00:19 | 2026-05-07 00:40 | 0.34 | 87.50 | 88.50 | +1.14 | +12.36 | trailing | up |
| live | SOL | long | 2026-05-06 13:56 | 2026-05-06 20:39 | 6.73 | 88.28 | 89.15 | +0.99 | +3.29 | trailing | sideways |
| live | SOL | short | 2026-04-30 15:31 | 2026-05-06 07:22 | 135.85 | 83.62 | 87.84 | -5.05 | -22.13 | sl | down |